What should be left to private industry and where should the government
intervene?
Economists ask this as a question about the market
- Capitalism says in most cases a free market should make the
best decisions (the invisible hand of the market)
- in what situations does the market fail to make good
decisions
- when there are factors that are not priced, where the people
involved in the market don't have to pay the cost (such as pollution
that affects others)
- government regulation is then the best answer
Assume that to reduce global warming we want to regulate
production of carbon dioxide
- gov't can require all companies to cut carbon production by
some percent
- gov't can put a tax on carbon release
- cap and trade--permits to release carbon are bought and
sold. Government regulation creates a cost for doing something
that has negative effects and so creates a market mechanism
Should the government regulate technological innovation?
Can we rely on the market to give us all the technology we want and
don't want?
Or should the government step in to make adjustments where we don't
think the market is working well?
Nye
gives three examples:
- new drugs are heavily regulated by the government
- homeowners need to get permission and pass inspection to
make major renovations on their homes (building codes)
- a company was
offering to clone your pet--there is no regulation of that
- the company closed--only 2 people paid the full $32,000
- here's
what their web site looked like when they were open and specifics on cat
cloning
Does this make sense? In the case of pet cloning, where this
technology goes is being left up to private industry, so consider two
questions:
- why does the government be involved in deciding the
direction of technology?
- how
does private industry decide what technologies to develop and how
effective is this system?
image
source
regulation of technology:
what has shaped the history of regulation?
- The traditional belief was that ordinary
people
could
and should watch out for themselves (buyer beware), but as consumer
goods
came to be made far away instead of locally and technology became more
complex that didn't work so well any more.
- employees had no right to compensation for
accidents from
their employers because of a legal principle called "fellow servant"
- The progressive movement around 1900 led to
the
first
regulations. Anti-trust regulations around 1900 and the Pure Food
and Drug Act (1906). Workers compensation started in the 1910s.
- Concern about the environment in the 1960s
and
1970s led
to a new set of regulations, primarily to control pollution
- Businesses are also regulated, in effect, by
what the
courts hold them responsible for. Product liability has grown to
be more of an issue because of changing social values (the decisions of
juries). But don't jump to use the lawsuit about hot
coffee at McDonalds as an example.
What is the impact of regulation?
- red tape makes it harder to do things, but
automotive
engineers say how much fun they had when the government mandated
increased
fuel efficiency and so the manufacturers were willing to invest in more
innovation
- how do you draw the line of how safe is safe
enough?
An engineer named Samuel Florman says regulation is a
good thing
- as technology becomes more complex we can't
protect ourselves
- some areas of harm (eg. pollution) cause
costs
that the
businesses that do harm wouldn't have to pay
- regulation prevents the situation where the
businesses
that try to act more responsibility go bankrupt because they can't
compete
with the ones willing to cut corners.
- liability, not regulation, is the problem
area.
Tort law has a life of its own--negligence no longer has to be proved
Role of Private Industry
Industrial research laboratories--example of General
Electric: ( GE
Research Lab History )
- Edison claimed he didn't need science, but he did
have almost an industrial research lab where he hired inventors and
mathematicians to work out the details of his ideas.
- General Electric started to look towards more
systematic research as Edison's patents expired--the basic one in
1894. GE's carbon filament faced competition from Nernst's
ceramic filament, which Westinghouse had the American patent on.
The company was following a strategy of buying patents from inventors,
but that was costing a lot.
- In 1900 General Electric's chief consulting
engineer, Charles Steinmetz, proposed the establishment of a laboratory
for original research entirely separate from the factory and immediate
production problems. "We all agreed it was to be a real
scientific laboratory." Modeled on experiments already underway
in Germany to bring scientists into corporations.
- Headed by Willis
R. Whitney, a professor of physical chemistry at MIT with a Ph.D.
from Leipzig (under Wilhelm
Ostwald). Whitney was tired of low salaries, slow promotions,
and lack of facilities, and interested in industrial problems. GE
was a disappointment at first--he found himself temporarily housed in a
barn at GE because of space problems. He solved that problem by
burning down the barn.
- Lab went from 8 people in 1901 to 102 in 1906--30
to 40% of the staff had scientific training. Whitney believed
that the way to develop new products was to do exploratory scientific
research--GE was willing to buy that idea because Whitney kept clear
that the goal was new products. University gave social prestige,
research freedom, and professionalism. Lab offered money and time
to work on research without demands for teaching and theory.
- Whitney's staff got to work on light bulbs and
found a way to improve the carbon bulb 25% by baking the filament.
- But all that was rendered obsolete by the
invention in Germany of more efficient lamps with filaments made of
rare metals such as tungsten and tantalum (by Carl Auer von Welsbach, Walther
Nernst and Werner von Bolton). In 1906 GE had to buy patents
at a cost of $300,000--a great defeat for the lab. William
Coolidge said: "These were the expenses that the Laboratory had been
founded with the purpose of preventing." Even then there were
tremendous problems with putting the new technology into use, and the
laboratory worked on those without much success (see T. P.
Hughes American Genesis p. 167). Whitney
suffered a breakdown, partly mental and partly untreated
appendicitis. He eventually returned to the lab as a manager, not
as a researcher.
- His replacement as leader of research was William D. Coolidge,
a Ph.D. from Leipzig, also a physical chemist. He was hired in
1905 at a salary of $2400--50% more than he was making at MIT.
His 1913 patent on a process for making an improved
tungsten filament saved the lab. But this was still an
improvement of an existing product, not something radically new.
Irving
Langmuir was the first to break that barrier. Had a Ph.D.
from Gottingen where he had studied under Walther Nernst (discoverer of
the 3rd law of thermodynamics) and a commitment to pure science, but he
had little time for research at his job at Stevens Tech.
Attracted to GE by the idea of spending full time on research and by
better equipment. What were the limits? Company owned
patents, required reports of research and daily notebook.
Langmuir studied chemical reactions a low pressures (inside a light
bulb) and published a stream of papers in physics and chemistry
(averaged 5 papers a year from 1912 on) and also a steady stream of
patents.
- In 1916 Langmuir invented the gas-filled bulb--gave
GE market domination (96% of American incandescent-lamp sales in
1928). He won the Nobel prize
for his work in surface chemical reactions (the work that had led to
the lamp) in 1932.
- The lab had proved itself at GE, but the secret
was that to get radically new products or new approaches you had to let
scientists do fairly open-ended scientific research, rather than
telling them what to work on. Scientists had to prove themselves
first, but then the top scientists were allowed to pick their own
research projects.
Industrial research allows corporations to control
innovation
- Key features of industrial research lab:
- freedom from operational responsibility--if
lab employees have to solve factory problems they won't get to
researching new products
- hiring Ph.D. scientists--because a Ph.D.
teaches you original research
- allowing scientific publication--because that
is a reward system scientists care about
- defensive and offensive patenting--patent
things your competitors need, not just things you need
- Attracted scientists who were inventive and
practical-minded but had no taste for the entrepreneurial activity and
the financial risk taking in which the independent inventors had had to
involve themselves.
Nye's basic question in this
chapter is whether it is ok to let corporations control technological
innovation, or whether there should be regulation of new
technologies--both prohibiting the development of some technologies and
encouraging the development of others
If you think the government should be intervening in what technologies
get developed, how do you do that? What mechanism will lead to
the best possible decisions
- should the government simply go by public opinion?
- the Office of Technology Assessment provided some evaluation
of technologies, but only when the federal government was involved in
paying for the research and development
- some people oppose new technologies such as genetically
engineered foods or methods of research such as animal experimentation
- the government can lead us in the wrong technological
direction either by regulating technologies (is regulation of stem cell
research political posturing slowing down valuable science?) or by
subsidizing and giving tax breaks to the wrong technology (in Nye's
opinion nuclear power and funding highways but not public
transportation)
- technology can be seen as the easy solution to problems that
come from deeper sources:
The Technological Fix=the idea that all
problems (even social problems) have technological solutions
- technology isn't going to solve all our problems for us
- for example, if automobiles cause unacceptable
pollution, add more technology to the automobile to reduce the
pollution (instead of substitution public transportation).
- can technology solve the problems of the
ghettos? Solve the problems
of war?
- Do we solve a problem like water shortages by
persuading people not to water their lawns or not have lawns or by
increasingly expensive technological systems to bring water from
someplace else? (Techno-Utopia
we seek may be mere illusion)
- Henry Ford: "We shall solve the city
problems by leaving the city."
- "Americans in particular have often seen
technological progress as the surest basis for progress in general, and
have tended to believe that technological solutions to problems are
less painful than solutions that require political or social changes." (Rudi
Volti, Society and Technological Change, 3rd edition, p. 16)
New York
The difficulty of social problems:
- Social problems are much more complex and harder
to solve than technological ones. Yet technological fixes
sometimes work, at least partially.
- The traditional solution to social problems is to
try to get people to behave more rationally (or to act for the good of
society rather than in their own self-interest).
- Goals are less clear for social problems, eg.
stop crime. Human behavior is hard to change
- technological solutions to social problems tend
to be incomplete and to replace one social problem with another.
- how do engineers deal with the social aspects of
a problem when they are trained to solve technological problems, not
social ones? (Computer
Professionals for Social Responsibility)
- is this also an issue for other professions?
What do we miss when we are focused on progress?
Does technological change always hurts someone?
If you think government
should have a role then the next question is:
How could the public
participate more effectively in decision-making for science and
technology? Nye believes that many decisions about what direction
we want to go in in the future are too important to be left to
corporations thinking only about profit
- is it appropriate to develop artifical red blood cells that
can carry more oxygen (think what athletes could do then)?
- should drugs that allow us to get by with less sleep be
developed and marketed? You know that would be profitable, and
the military has developed some good possibilities
- should parents be able to change the genetic features of
their children?
- should we develop robots to care for old people? Japan
is quite far along with this
- is it desirable to have people live for 1,000 years--some
scientists think this is possible
How to increase public engagement?
One issue is the role of the media, which has itself been changed by
technology. Consider the example of TV:
- does watching violence on TV cause
people to be more violent? Why would it have that effect more
than books or magazines?
- how does TV change politics? What is it
about the technology that causes it to have that effect?
- is the cause of these effects the technology or the
programming?
- people make the programming decisions but what the
technology can do may encourage particular kinds of material
The War in Vietnam
Impact on public opinion
- we are much more aware of the world
- News coverage--the "global village"
- people see TV as their prime source of
national and international news, but they also read newspapers (much
influenced by satellites and computers) and news magazines.
- Seeing makes it seem realer--television coverage
of the war in Vietnam was a major factor in the development of public
feelings against the war
- Newspaper reporting is impersonal (and usually
includes background information), while TV reporting is more like
storytelling, often presented as much as entertainment as as
information. Volti quotes a study that says 20% of people who
watched a newscast remembered nothing an hour later and the average
viewer retained 20% of the information presented. The potential
of news via internet is not very clear yet.
- who controls the news? Is it politically
biassed? does that actually change public opinion?
- The real answer isn't liberals, but the urban
educated establishment, which happens to be somewhat liberal ( an
argument that TV tends to favor conservative ideas )
- has cable tv (public access and Christian
channels) reduced this effect by reducing the cost of access?
- does the technology have anything to do with why
the press gives people less and less privacy?
Politics--current (
excellent
links on this topic )
- candidates spend millions (in the case of
presidential candidates tens of millions) of dollars on television
advertising--something like 1/3 of the campaign budget.
(
dissect an ad )
- candidates need to raise more money because TV
advertising is expensive, so they end up more beholden to special
interests.
- television advertising is based on impact, and
doesn't give you much sense of the candidate's policy views ( ad
examples )
- You add this to a system where voters have less
loyalty than they used to to political parties and you get people
voting on the basis of sound bites.
- on the other hand, more is decided by the people
and less by party bosses in smoke-filled rooms.
- Volti says the greatest threat to our political
process may come from the trivialization of the political process by
television
Politics--future:
- would you want to have a system where people made
more decisions directly--the electronic town meeting? Town meeting
form of government still works pretty well in New England towns.
- we have the technology now to go back to a purer
form of democracy
- tendency already visible towards putting more
decisions directly in the hands of the public through referendums.
- can the public be educated?
- public opinion makes a big difference--eg.
nuclear power
- can you educate public opinion on complex
technology (Florman ch. 11)? Lewis Thomas's view as a patient:
"Don't explain it to me. Go ahead and fix it." In the end
we mostly decide which experts to trust.
- There are so many complex technological issues
that our society much face that it seems hopeless to educate the public
on each one, plus you have the problem that the ones that come to the
public are the controversial ones, and people just end up confused by
the conflicting opinions of different experts.
- Florman: "I do not fear the coming of a sinister
technocratic cabal, mainly because on consequential issues the
technicians invariably give conflicting advice, and the politicians end
up making the decisions whether they want to or not."
- other models of public participation, eg. science
court
- rebellion against regulation, such as pirate radio
discussion: how television changes politics
- televison makes the public more knowledgeable (eg. debates)
- commercials just talk about the negative aspects,
- makes appearance more important than reality
- people are more independent, listen less to political parties
- tv commercials are misleading
if not inaccurate--personal attacks and oversimplified policy issues
- ads only deal with certain subjects
- television encourages drama, visual impressions rather than
facts, sound bites rather than detailed information
- the public is turned off by nasty
commercials
- twist the facts, tell them out of context
- ads are by definition biassed
- TV news is biassed, picks
stories that will appeal to voters, doesn't give much detail,
emphasizes news not background
does television change our way of thinking?
- Marshall
McLuhan--less linear, less abstract ways of thinking
- children develop their imagination less
- students expect to be entertained.
- the potential for distance learning.
- When MTV televised a song by jazz singer Gil
Scott-Heron it changed a critical word. The line had read "The
revolution will not be televised." MTV changed that to "The
revolution will be televised." ( more
on "the revolution will not be televised" )
Does the internet change
this fundamentally?